Models in Ecosystem Science

Framsida

Quantitative models are crucial to almost every area of ecosystem science. They provide a logical structure that guides and informs empirical observations of ecosystem processes. They play a particularly crucial role in synthesizing and integrating our understanding of the immense diversity of ecosystem structure and function. Increasingly, models are being called on to predict the effects of human actions on natural ecosystems. Despite the widespread use of models, there exists intense debate within the field over a wide range of practical and philosophical issues pertaining to quantitative modeling. This book--which grew out of a gathering of leading experts at the ninth Cary Conference--explores those issues.


The book opens with an overview of the status and role of modeling in ecosystem science, including perspectives on the long-running debate over the appropriate level of complexity in models. This is followed by eight chapters that address the critical issue of evaluating ecosystem models, including methods of addressing uncertainty. Next come several case studies of the role of models in environmental policy and management. A section on the future of modeling in ecosystem science focuses on increasing the use of modeling in undergraduate education and the modeling skills of professionals within the field. The benefits and limitations of predictive (versus observational) models are also considered in detail. Written by stellar contributors, this book grants access to the state of the art and science of ecosystem modeling.

 

Så tycker andra - Skriv en recension

Vi kunde inte hitta några recensioner.

Innehåll

Models in Ecosystem Science
1
The Status and Role of Modeling in Ecosystem Science
11
The Role of Quantitative Models in Science
13
The Status of Dynamic Quantitative Modeling in Ecology
32
The Utility of Simple Models in Ecosystem Science
49
In Praise of Mechanistically Rich Models
63
Modeling for Synthesis and Integration Forests People and Riparian Coarse Woody Debris
83
The Role of Models in Prediction for Decision
111
The Role of Models in Environmental Policy and Management
297
The Role of Models in Ecosystem Management
299
The Role of Models in Addressing Critical N Loading to Ecosystems
308
The Role of Models in Addressing Coastal Eutrophication
327
Quantitative Models in Ecological Toxicology Application in Ecological Risk Assessment
344
Effects of Plant Invaders on Nutrient Cycling Using Models to Explore the Link between Invasion and Development of Species Effects
363
Predicting the Ecosystem Effects of Climate Change
385
The Future of Modeling in Ecosystem Science
411

Evaluating Ecosystem Models
137
Propagation and Analysis of Uncertainty in Ecosystem Models
139
Bayesian Approaches in Ecological Analysis and Modeling
168
Model Validation and Testing Past Lessons Present Concerns Future Prospects
184
Standards of Practice for Review and Publication of Models Summary of Discussion
204
The Collision of Hypotheses What Can Be Learned from Comparisons of Ecosystem Models?
211
Evaluating and Testing Models of Terrestrial Biogeochemistry The Role of Temperature in Controlling Decomposition
225
Representing Biogeochemical Diversity and Size Spectra in Ecosystem Models of the Ocean Carbon Cycle
254
The Mass Balances of Nutrients in Ecosystem Theory and Experiments Implications for the Coexistence of Species
272
The Role of Modeling in Undergraduate Education
413
Increasing Modeling Savvy Strategies to Advance Quantitative Modeling Skills for Professionals within Ecology
428
The Limits to Models in Ecology
437
Concluding Comments
453
The Need for FastandFrugal Models
455
On the Benefits and Limitations of Prediction
461
A CommunityWide Investment in Modeling
466
Index
471
Upphovsrätt

Andra upplagor - Visa alla

Vanliga ord och fraser

Om författaren (2003)

Charles D. Canham and Jonathan J. Cole are scientists with the Institute of Ecosystem Studies, which hosted the Cary Conference. William K. Lauenroth is a Professor in the Department of Forest, Rangeland, and Watershed Stewardship at Colorado State University.

Bibliografisk information