The Stockholm Paradigm: Climate Change and Emerging DiseaseUniversity of Chicago Press, 16 juli 2019 - 422 sidor The contemporary crisis of emerging disease has been a century and a half in the making. Human, veterinary, and crop health practitioners convinced themselves that disease could be controlled by medicating the sick, vaccinating those at risk, and eradicating the parts of the biosphere responsible for disease transmission. Evolutionary biologists assured themselves that coevolution between pathogens and hosts provided a firewall against disease emergence in new hosts. Most climate scientists made no connection between climate changes and disease. None of these traditional perspectives anticipated the onslaught of emerging infectious diseases confronting humanity today. As this book reveals, a new understanding of the evolution of pathogen-host systems, called the Stockholm Paradigm, explains what is happening. The planet is a minefield of pathogens with preexisting capacities to infect susceptible but unexposed hosts, needing only the opportunity for contact. Climate change has always been the major catalyst for such new opportunities, because it disrupts local ecosystem structure and allows pathogens and hosts to move. Once pathogens expand to new hosts, novel variants may emerge, each with new infection capacities. Mathematical models and real-world examples uniformly support these ideas. Emerging disease is thus one of the greatest climate change–related threats confronting humanity. Even without deadly global catastrophes on the scale of the 1918 Spanish Influenza pandemic, emerging diseases cost humanity more than a trillion dollars per year in treatment and lost productivity. But while time is short, the danger is great, and we are largely unprepared, the Stockholm Paradigm offers hope for managing the crisis. By using the DAMA (document, assess, monitor, act) protocol, we can “anticipate to mitigate” emerging disease, buying time and saving money while we search for more effective ways to cope with this challenge. |
Innehåll
1 How Bad Is It Anyway? | 1 |
2 How Did We Get into This Mess? | 25 |
3 Dawning Awareness | 49 |
4 Back to the Future | 71 |
Taking Advantage of Opportunities | 106 |
Coping with Changing Opportunities | 137 |
7 A Paradigm for Pathogens and Hosts | 169 |
The Cost of Human Evolution | 195 |
Evolutionary Triage | 225 |
Its Nobodys Fault but Everyones to Blame | 252 |
Notes | 273 |
Bibliography | 309 |
399 | |
Andra upplagor - Visa alla
The Stockholm Paradigm: Climate Change and Emerging Disease Daniel R. Brooks,Eric P. Hoberg,Walter A. Boeger Begränsad förhandsgranskning - 2019 |
The Stockholm Paradigm: Climate Change and Emerging Disease Daniel R. Brooks,Eric P. Hoberg,Walter A. Boeger Ingen förhandsgranskning - 2019 |
Vanliga ord och fraser
adaptive Africa allow America animals areas associated become beginning believe biology Brooks called capacity cause century cities climate change colonization common complex connections conservative continue cope cost cycles Darwin distribution diversity domestic ecological ecological fitting effective emerging disease environment environmental episodes et al evidence evolution evolutionary example existence expansion explore extinction fitness space function fundamental genetic geographic given global Hoberg host range host species humans important increasing infected involved isolation Journal known leading limited linked living means million modeling nature never North occur opportunity organisms original oscillations outbreaks parasites Parasitology particular past pathogens phylogenetic plants Pleistocene population possible potential predictable problem produce relative require result risk Science scientists selection specialized stage studies suggested technological threat tion traits understanding United University vaccine variants virus